Performance Report
This presentation analyzes the performance of an innovation-oriented technology portfolio launched in December 2022.
Period: 28.12.2022 - 10.02.2025
Performance Report
This presentation analyzes the performance of an innovation-oriented technology portfolio launched in December 2022.
Period: 28.12.2022 - 10.02.2025
Overview and Highlights
Better than NVIDIA
While NVIDIA has been celebrated for its outstanding performance over the past two years, this portfolio invested in the one AI stock that outperformed it.
Stock Picking vs. Index
The portfolio focuses on targeted stock selection and outperforming the markets. It consists of four companies with exceptional CEOs that have clearly outperformed the benchmark indices over both years – each of the four assets has returned over 200%.
Trump factor
The US presidential election gave performance an additional boost, but even before that, the portfolio, with a strong 50/50 distribution, was already extraordinarily successful.
Security and risk of loss
This investment was NEVER in the red over the entire period of the last two years – it achieved a consistently positive performance.
Best Performing Stocks 2023/24
The selection includes both the best stock of the MSCI USA (from 590 companies) from 2023 and the top performer of the S&P 500 from last year 2024. In addition, 2 other stocks were in the top 10 of the MSCI USA in 2023.
Multiple
While traditional investments aim to double the capital invested in 5–7 years, this portfolio increased the capital invested more than ninefold (9x) in just two years.
"A portfolio of this kind with even a remotely comparable performance is extremely rare to find, especially with diversification across four outperforming assets."
TPCG - Tesla Palantir Coinbase GBTC
The combination of forward-looking companies in high-growth sectors positions this portfolio as one that highlights the future of electric autonomous driving and robotics, AI-powered data analysis, digital asset trading and management, and blockchain technology.
Together, they form a compelling narrative around transformative technologies that will change tomorrow's economy.
Tesla
Palantir
Coinbase
GBTC
Tesla Palantir Coinbase GBTC
TPCG - Tesla Palantir Coinbase GBTC
216%
1.716%
700%
866%
The combination of forward-looking companies in high-growth sectors positions this portfolio as one that highlights the future of electric autonomous driving and robotics, AI-powered data analysis, digital asset trading and management, and blockchain technology.
Together, they form a compelling narrative around disruptive and transformative technologies that will change tomorrow's economy.
Tesla
Palantir
Coinbase
GBTC
Tesla Palantir Coinbase GBTC
Chamath Palihapitiya
ALL IN POD Eps. 232 from June 2025
Invested Capital
350.000 $
Date of purchase: December 28, 2022
Invested Capital
350.000 $
Date of purchase: December 28, 2022
BEST Of The BEST
S&P 500 and MSCI USA*
*The MSCI USA Index reflects the performance of the large and mid-cap segments of the US equity market. With 590 companies, the index covers about 85% of the USA's free float-adjusted market capitalization.
AI, Innovation, and Technological Leadership
Engagement in disruptive sectors: These companies operate in sectors that are considered disruptive and transformative. With a combination of AI-based technology leadership and a focus on innovative products and solutions, this portfolio is perfectly aligned with the trends that will bring fundamental change in the future.
Innovation and future growth: These companies are pioneers in their respective industries. Whether it's Tesla's innovations in the field of electric mobility, AI-supported autonomous driving and robotics, Palantir's AI-supported data analysis tools or Coinbase's leading position in the field of digital assets. These stocks show exceptional long-term growth potential.
This podcast documents an in-depth analysis of this portfolio compiled in December 2022. The speakers examine in detail the impressive increase in value of over 900% by February 2025 and emphasize that this success was based on the strategic selection of four key assets: Tesla, Coinbase, GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) and Palantir. In addition to pure performance, the underlying trends and disruptive potential of these companies in promising sectors such as e-mobility, artificial intelligence, digital assets and big data analysis are discussed in order to gain valuable insights for investment decisions, especially in light of the recent market correction.
Total Portfolio Value
as of February 10, 2025
3.271.255 $
Portfolio value:
9,3x the purchase price
2.921.255 $
Profit:
+834,6%
UPDATE July 18, 2025
Value: 4.218.207$ 12.0x
Profit: 3.868.207$ +1105%
Performance 2025 til07/25 +56.2%
UPDATE July 18, 2025 Value: 4.218.207$ 12.0x Profit: 3.868.207$ +1105% Performance 2025 til07/25 +56.2%
Performance Comparison
2023
2024
Performance Comparison
2023
2024
TESLA
+101% “No 10 Best performing Stock of the MSCI USA 2023”
$100.000
Initial Investment:
902 shares at $110,86
$316.358
Current Value:
$350,73 / share
216%
Profit:
$216.358
The TESLA position achieved a significant increase in value to 3.1 times the original purchase price.
About TESLA
As a leading manufacturer of electric vehicles and with over 7 million units sold, TESLA stands for a forward-looking vision of electric mobility and sustainable energy - fully autonomous driving, the development of humanoid robots, and innovative solutions in solar energy and energy storage.
Why it fits: Tesla is often seen as a flagship for the electric revolution and the future of mobility. With its strong brand, innovative product range and visionary leadership, Tesla is well positioned to benefit from related megatrends. The stock represents a futuristic vision of sustainable energy and cutting-edge technology with significant growth potential.
"The Future Is Autonomous"
Which Company Is Going To Win The AI Race?
ALL IN POD Eps. 232 from June 2025
COINBASE
+391% “No 10 Best performing Stock of the MSCI USA 2023”
$85.000
Initial Investment:
2.440 shares at $34,84
$680.270
Current Value:
$270,80 / share
700%
Profit:
$595.270
The COINBASE position achieved an increase in value to 8.0 times the original purchase price.
GBTC
Performance 2023: +317% 2024: +113%
$85.000
Initial Investment:
10.650 shares at $7,98
$821.168
Current Value:
$77,11 / share
866%
Profit:
$736.168
The GBTC position achieved an impressive increase in value to 9.6 times the original purchase price.
PALANTIR
+346% “Best performing Stock of the S&P500 2024”
+167% “No 5 Best performing Stock of the MSCI USA 2023”
$80.000
Initial Investment:
12.460 shares at $6,42
$1.453.459
Current Value:
$116,65 / share
1.716%
Profit:
$1.373.459
The PALANTIR position achieved an increase in value to 18.1 times the original purchase price.
About PALANTIR
PALANTIR is considered a leading AI-supported big data analysis company that offers software solutions for organizations to integrate, visualize and analyze data. Their clients include, among others, states, the military, the CIA secret service and the police. In particular, the US Department of Defense and private sector companies. Palantir is supporting Ukraine in its war against Putin.
Why it fits: Palantir works at the intersection of artificial intelligence and data analysis and is a key player in helping organizations use data to make decisions. As companies increasingly adopt data-driven strategies, Palantir will continue to benefit from the growing demand for sophisticated analytics tools, making it an attractive choice for an investor looking for leaders in the highly publicized AI segment.
"AI-Powered Automation for Every Decision"
Performance per Asset
As of February 10, 2025
Invested Capital:
350.000 $
3.271.255 $
Portfolio value:
9,3x of the capital invested
834,6%
Profit:
2.921.255 $
This performance exceeds 99.8% of all published portfolios of institutional investors.
Notes
“Nobody wants TESLA”: Due to the developments surrounding Elon Musk, the current situation in Europe and especially in Germany is “somewhat complicated”. However, if you look at the analysts' ratings in the US, the current sentiment is not given much importance in the long term, especially since the value of the share has already been corrected accordingly. 29 analysts currently rate the share as “BUY” - 15 analysts as “HOLD” and only 14 analysts give it a “SELL” rating (as of March 25, 25).
You can get our detailed analysis of the current situation, in particular a more in-depth assessment of Elon Musk and his behavior over contact@tpcgglobal.com.
GBTC: We chose Grayscale Bitcoin Trust two years ago as a simple, regulated and secure way to invest in Bitcoin as part of a portfolio without having to buy Bitcoin directly. In particular, since the market value of GBTC at the time of purchase was trading at a discount of over 45% compared to the value of the real Bitcoin deposited, this opened up the opportunity for us to purchase Bitcoin with a safety buffer for the equivalent of under $9,000. For new investments, we recommend investing not through GBTC but either directly or through a lower-cost ETF/ETP.
For investors residing in Germany, profits from an investment in Bitcoin are exempt from tax after a holding period of more than 12 months. (Subject to the ETP being classified as such for tax purposes).
Volatility
In the last two years, there have been almost no losses in this portfolio. However, we generally see volatility as a positive and important component of this portfolio, offering us various opportunities to further increase performance while reducing risk. (The report presented here does not include any trades)
The shares and the valuation of Bitcoin may be subject to strong price movements in the short term, even in the case of a long-term upward trend, and investors should be prepared for this. However, this also gives us the opportunity to profit from the fluctuations and to take advantage of suitable situations to take profits and re-enter or make additional purchases during periods of weakness.
In the case of a performance like the one we see in this portfolio, it makes perfect sense to realize profits in good phases, especially when, for example, market sentiment changes or in order to even out the weighting between the individual assets and to adjust it again to the desired risk profile.
In addition, excessive price increases within a very short period of time (e.g. TESLA +50% after the US election or PALANTIR +40% after the announcement of the last quarterly results) can be used for profit taking, thereby releasing the corresponding liquidity, which can then be reused for reinvestment at more favorable prices when prices correct.
Price declines and market weakness should, in principle, be used to build up or, if necessary, expand this portfolio, provided liquidity is available.
A working paper on this topic with current examples can be requested by email!
Future Potential
TESLA: With the imminent introduction of the robotaxi network, advanced Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the humanoid robot Optimus, Tesla is further positioning itself as a technology leader. In the medium term, more than 70% of sales are expected to be generated from these areas. The scaling of AI-supported automation could allow the company to grow far beyond the automotive sector. Its close relationship with the US government will be an advantage.
PALANTIR: AI will shape our future and Palantir is one of the top picks. Particularly in difficult times, a leading company in AI-supported data analysis with strong Pentagon connections will benefit from increasing demand for security and enterprise software. Especially in the government sector and among large companies, the need for AI-supported decision-making will continue to grow. In April 2025 NATO also acquired the military system from Palantir. Proximity to the US government will be an advantage in this regard.
COINBASE: As the largest US exchange and custodian for digital assets, active in over 100 countries and with a trading volume of over $400bn/quarter, Coinbase is central to the digital financial market - in particular, with the custody of Bitcoin for 80% of all Bitcoin spot ETFs worth over $200bn. In addition, Coinbase has an extensive VC portfolio. Growing institutional acceptance and regulatory clarity can promote further growth. Proximity to the US government will be an advantage.
BITCOIN: In 2024, the price of $100,000 per Bitcoin was exceeded for the first time, establishing Bitcoin as digital gold. This was underpinned by the introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the US and rising institutional interest. Daily trading volumes are now in the double-digit billions, and large financial institutions such as BlackRock and Fidelity manage billions in Bitcoin. In addition, the US government has announced a government Bitcoin reserve, which further strengthens the narrative of digital value storage and demand for it, and will lead other countries to follow suit.
Why now?
Prices have come down significantly in recent weeks – in some cases by over 30%. Therefore, we believe that an investment at this level could be attractive again. We prefer not to chase after developments and prices. We view entry prices such as Tesla at over $250–300, Palantir at over $90, or Bitcoin at $90,000 to over $100,000 for now with skepticism.
The coming months remain difficult to predict, especially in view of the uncertainty surrounding possible decisions by US President Trump that could further unsettle the markets and potentially lead the US into a recession and the stock markets into a bear market. Nevertheless, the current price level appears much more attractive for entry than it did just a few weeks ago. Further possible market declines could then be used specifically for acquisitions.
When should you buy? Ideally, on days when the markets unsettle you so much that the thought of investing in stocks seems completely unappealing. The rule of thumb is: when everyone wants to buy, you should sell; when no one wants to buy, you should invest – even if it feels uncomfortable in the short term. However, whether the markets will offer you such an opportunity remains to be seen. In recent years, such opportunities have been rare. A correction of just over 10% in the S&P 500, as we are currently experiencing, is typical but also the maximum of the last two years.
A gradual build-up of a position in PALANTIR and COINBASE could make sense. Should BITCOIN fall below the $80,000 or even $70,000 mark, we believe this would also be a good time to enter the market. If the current negative market sentiment persists, prices in this range are quite possible. On the other hand, if market conditions are favorable, we could quickly see Bitcoin prices of over $150,000 this year – and then today's prices will quickly be viewed with nostalgia. Please feel free to request our latest analysis for TESLA.
A lot depends on Trump's behavior. The markets are fundamentally showing a willingness to rise and could quickly recover if stability and reliability prevail. Confidence plays a central role here. However, should Trump provoke new conflicts or even start wars, uncertainty could increase and push the markets significantly further down. Then you should be liquid in order to take advantage of more favorable prices to expand your portfolio.
last update: March 29, 2025
